How can we calculates GHG emissions under different development and policy scenarios?

Energy Forecasting Framework and Emissions Consensus Tool (EFFECT)

What is it and how can it help? 

EFFECT is a numerical model that calculates GHG emissions under different development and policy scenarios. The tool forecasts energy balances of energy generating/consuming assets and associated GHG emissions in a country or sector. From the tool estimates country or sector-level emissions, focusing on sectors that contribute to and are expected to experience a rapid growth in emissions. EFFECT has modules for road transport, agriculture, power, industry, household and non-residential sectors.

When does it work best? 
  • EFFECT works well for providing an evidence base on cost-effectiveness of national low carbon development plans.
  • EFFECT may assist the consensus-building between government departments and other private sector and civil society stakeholders.
  • EFFECT works well for supporting decisions between different green policy options at a sector-level.
How do I use it? 
  • Users can take a self-paced training course on low carbon development which includes a step-by-step instructions on how to use EFFECT.
  • EFFECT is Excel-based and can be downloaded from ESMAP’s website.
Where has it been used? 

EFFECT has been used in Georgia, Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Macedonia, Nigeria, Philippines, Poland, Thailand and Vietnam.

What are its limitations? 
  • EFFECT is relatively data intensive.
  • A comprehensive assessment may be lengthy and pricey.
  • The use of EFFECT may require special capacity building in the tool.
  • The application of EFFECT may require the hiring of a local consultant to gather the required input data.
Where can I go to learn more?